Synthora ⚠ HOLD · 30% confidence
⚠ HOLD — 30% confidence
This model is Synthora's core differentiator: the AI proposes assumptions, but a deterministic engine computes the numbers — never an LLM guess. See the 3 validation tests →

Founder-approved deterministic financial model

Step 1: review and approve the proposed assumptions below. Step 2: the deterministic engine computes the model. Step 3: the decision engine applies fixed kill criteria. Nothing computes until the founder approves.

1. Proposed assumptions

Pending founder approval
assumption
assumption
assumption
assumption
assumption
founder-intake
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assumption
Edit in Settings
🔒 Approve the assumptions above to compute the model.

2. Computed outputs

Computed by code from assumptions.json — never estimated by the AI.

LTV

$461.87

CAC

$140.00

LTV : CAC

3.30x
Pessimistic: 1.20x

Payback

0 mo
Pessimistic: 4 mo

Runway

4.5 mo

Gross margin

84.6%

AI gross margin

99.6%
p90: 98.7%

Revenue, mo. 12 / 24

$14,560
Mo. 24: $32,760
🔒 Approve the assumptions above to run the decision engine.

3. Decision engine — fixed kill criteria

CriterionResultKills the idea if
Reliability verdictunprovenverdict = fails
AI gross margin (p90)98.7%< 50%
Wrapper testpass= fail
Annex III high-risk, no compliance planfalsetrue & unbudgeted

No single AI kill criterion is triggered today. The recommendation is driven by unresolved business risk instead:

⚠ Recommendation: HOLD — 30% confidence
  • No source shows paying demand at $149–$999.
  • Priced substitutes (IdeaProof, Preuve AI) already cover overlapping scope.
  • Citation-fabrication reliability is unproven (18–95% range across benchmarks).

Build proceeds only if the three tests on Home pass.